Updates on Flipping the Senate 10/23/20

Flipping the Senate 10/23/20

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/

 

 

The 538 forecast is that the Democrats have a 74/100 chance of winning the Senate. They would have 51 or 52 votes to 49 or 48 for Republicans.

 

The forecast lists the Senate races by how close they are, so 50/50 is a total toss-up. So here’s their forecast by state. There are lots of very close races that could go either way.

 

Iowa: Greenfield (D) = 57/100

Georgia: Perdue (R) = 69/100

North Carolina: Cunningham (D) = 64/100

Maine: Gideon (D) = 64/100

Montana: Daines (R) = 67/100

Georgia: Warnock (D) = 53/100

Kansas: Marshall (R) = 74/100

South Carolina (R) : Graham = 76/100

Arizona: Kelly (D) = 78/100

Alabama: Tuberville (R) = 77/100

Michigan: Peters (D) = 80/100

Alaska: Sullivan (R) = 79/100

Colorado: Hickenlooper (D) = 84/100

 

The Democrats with the best chances of winning and needing the most help are: Greenfield in Iowa, Warnock and Ossoff in Georgia, Cunningham in North Carolina, Gideon in Maine, and Bullock in Montana.

 

Please in the short time that remains help flip the Senate and ditch Mitch McConnell. Stay well and vote.

 

Thanks, best, Lucien

Report from LA 10/23/20

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